← MSG Store Championship September 1st
Wind AlliesTier 1
at MSG Store Championship September 1st
decks
2
(28.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
5-1-2
overall winrate
75.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
61.3%
avg ELO +5.4 per match
expected value
60.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
57.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1458
· median 1458
· range 1367–1548
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1234
Q1 1322
Q3 1356
1548
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 42.9% | 5 | 3-1-1 | 70.0% | 61.1% | 59.2% | +5.3 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 14.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.0% | +11.1 |
| Slimes | 14.3% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 53.1% | +2.9 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
